Thus far in 2026, luxury single-family homes defined as those priced above $1 million have recorded 469 closings. That represents an increase of nearly 16% compared to the same period in 2025, even as total market sales are down almost 2%. Luxury transactions now account for nearly 9% of all sales, up from 7.4% last year. At the very top end, the prime segment consisting of homes selling above $3 million now comprises approximately 1% of all transactions. Just five years ago, that figure was only 0.3%. The expansi... read more

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We recently examined for-sale home levels in Las Vegas, as shown in the chart below. Although inventories are not as low as they were in 2013, when investment activity was intense, inventory is historically low. Some submarkets and price ranges are extremely constrained. Based on recent sales levels, months-of-supply in the $150,000 - $250,000 range has fallen below one month. Low inventory is not just a local issue but is noted to be an issue in many U.S. markets. Based on today's levels and increasing p... read more

This series of small exhibits illustrates Las Vegas home prices using the repeat sale index from S&P Down Jones Case-Shiller. We examine some of the causal components which may have altered the price path at different times. note that in the year-over-year exhibit, the rate of price growth slowed in 2015 and flat prices are largely persistent today. Not all homes would have this same trajectory and price can vary substantially by highly localized supply and demand factors. For an estimate of what a specifi... read more

With a relatively balanced supply-demand picture, single family home prices traded sideways once again. For most of 2016, prices moved little with just two months accounting for most of the year's increase. Underlying fundamentals continue to improve so we are very comfortable with prices at these levels.